منابع مشابه
Propensities and probabilities
Popper’s introduction of ‘‘propensity’’ was intended to provide a solid conceptual foundation for objective single-case probabilities. By considering the partly opposed contributions of Humphreys and Miller and Salmon, it is argued that when properly understood, propensities can in fact be understood as objective single-case causal probabilities of transitions between concrete events. The chief...
متن کاملPropensities and conditional probabilities
The present paper deals with the objection that Paul Humphreys raised against the propensity interpretation of probability "Humphreys' paradox". An update on existing solutions is o ered, and it is concluded that none of them is completely satisfactory in view of Humphreys' 2004 rejoinder. Positively, an original solution is formulated and discussed.
متن کاملThe game of red and blue revisited: propensities, subjective probabilities, and the goodness-of-fit paradox
“The game of red and blue” is an example given by Gillies (2000) to illustrate the superiority of his propensity interpretation of probability over the subjective interpretation of de Finetti. I will show that the falsifiability of probability models by means of statistical tests, which is crucial for Gillies’ interpretation, is subject to serious difficulties, one of which is the goodnessof-fi...
متن کاملPROPENSITIES AND PRAGMATISM_final
for The Review of Metaphysics): This paper outlines a genuinely pragmatist conception of propensity, and defends it against common objections to the propensity interpretation of probability, prominently Humphreys’ paradox. The paper reviews the paradox and identifies one of its key assumptions, the identity thesis, according to which propensities are probabilities (under a suitable interpretati...
متن کاملProbabilities, Causes and Propensities in Physics Edited by Mauricio Suárez for Springer, Synthese Library Preface and Acknowledgements
Some of the papers collected in this volume were first presented in draft outline at a workshop that I organised at Complutense University in Madrid in October 2006. This was the second workshop organised within the Classical and Causal Concepts in Science network of philosophers of physics in Spain. I want to thank the leaders of the other two legs of the network, Carl Hoefer and Henrik Zinker...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B: Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics
سال: 2007
ISSN: 1355-2198
DOI: 10.1016/j.shpsb.2006.09.003